This website addresses medical professionals who advise and treat people with epileptic seizures. We aim at making the existing scientific evidence on the prognosis of epileptic seizures available in a condensed and comprehensible form.
We are scientists with expertise in neurology, epileptology, statistics and medical informatics (see Contributors). Although we have created this website with the greatest possible care, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of the content. In addition, we cannot accept any responsibility for any medical decisions derived from it.
The underlying (raw) data originates from published scientific studies in which the probability of the occurrence of another a further epileptic seizure over time was estimated based on random samples. The accuracy of these estimates and their transferability generalizability to the totality population of subjects persons in the same situation depends on the size and representativeness of the sample. This is also reflected in the width of the confidence intervals. Our interpolations are an additional simplification with the aim of greater clarity. For details, we always refer to the original publications.
In addition to the cumulative risk of another epileptic seizure (e.g., "X months after an acute symptomatic first seizure following ischemic stroke, the probability of an unprovoked seizure is Y%"), we provide estimates for the "Chance of an Occurrence of a Seizure in the next Year" (COSY). These indicate the probability of suffering having a seizure in the next following 12 months, assuming that the patient has been seizure-free for X months.
The prognoses and risks presented refer to study cohorts, not individuals. Here we consider a limited number of specifically investigated factors only, whereas in the case of a specific individual, countless factors influence seizure prognosis. This website is intended to support professional medical counselling but can never replace it.
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